Quantum Computing & Post-Quantum Cryptography Milestones

Year Milestone / Event
1981 Feynman (and Benioff) propose simulating quantum systems with quantum computers – laying conceptual groundwork for quantum computing.
1984 Bennett & Brassard introduce the BB84 quantum key distribution protocol (first QKD scheme).
1985 Deutsch describes the first universal quantum computer model (able to simulate any other QC).
1994 Shor publishes his integer factoring algorithm, showing a QC could break RSA/DL cryptosystems in polynomial time.
1996 Grover discovers his quantum search algorithm (quadratic speedup for unstructured search problems).
2001 IBM/Stanford demonstrate Shor’s algorithm in the lab: factor 15 using a 7-qubit NMR quantum computer.
2007 D‑Wave Systems demonstrates a 28‑qubit superconducting quantum annealing processor (early commercial QA device).
2011 D‑Wave introduces its 128‑qubit “D‑Wave One” annealer, claimed as the first commercially available quantum computer.
2016 China launches Micius, the first quantum-communications satellite (space-based QKD/teleportation demo). IBM releases the 5‑qubit IBM Q Experience (cloud QC access). NIST launches its Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) standardization process (call for algorithms).
2017 Google (with NASA) reports quantum supremacy: 53‑qubit Sycamore solves a sampling problem in ~200s vs thousands of years classically. China’s Micius performs 1,200+ km ground-to-satellite quantum entanglement/teleportation. D‑Wave releases its 2,000‑qubit “2000Q” annealer to customers.
2018 European Union launches the €1 billion, 10‑year Quantum Flagship initiative to fund quantum research and infrastructure.
2019 Google/NASA achievement marks first widely reported quantum supremacy (as above); NIST announces Round 2 finalists in PQC competition (encryption/sig candidates including Kyber, Dilithium, SPHINCS+, Falcon).
2020 Chinese USTC team (Pan’s group) builds Jiuzhang, a photonic quantum computer that samples in 200 s vs an estimated 2.5 billion years classically (quantum advantage). NIST selects Round 3 PQC finalists (e.g. CRYSTALS-Kyber, Dilithium, FALCON, SPHINCS+).
2021 IBM unveils Eagle, a 127‑qubit superconducting processor (first >100 qubits in a single chip). NIST calls for additional PQC digital-signature algorithms to diversify its standardization.
2022 NIST selects its first PQC standards: CRYSTALS-Kyber (encryption) and CRYSTALS-Dilithium, FALCON, SPHINCS+ (signatures). White House NSM-10 (May 2022) directs U.S. agencies to inventory crypto systems and prepare for a transition to quantum-resistant algorithms. OMB issues memo M‑23‑02 (Nov 2022) mandating agency PQC migration planning by 2030.
2024 NIST publishes final PQC standards (FIPS 203–205) for the selected quantum-resistant algorithms. Major governments and industry scale up quantum networks and cryptographic implementations (e.g. TLS1.3+PQC pilot deployments).
2025 (proj.) IBM aims for quantum advantage by end of 2026 (beyond classical performance) and a large-scale fault-tolerant QC by 2029. U.S. Executive Order (Jan 2025) renews focus on cyber innovation, highlights quantum threats, and requires agencies to adopt post-quantum cryptography (e.g. TLS 1.3 or newer by 2030).

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